Reform would be UK's largest party if election held today, bombshell new poll reveals (0.5446808510638298)

<iframe frameborder="0" height="100%" scrolling="no" src="https://www.gbnews.com/res/scraper/embed/?video_url=https%3A%2F%2Fmm-v2.simplestream.com%2Fiframe%2Fplayer.php%3Fkey%3D3Li3Nt2Qs8Ct3Xq9Fi5Uy0Mb2Bj0Qs%26player%3DGB003%26uvid%3D52946788%26type%3Dvod%26viously_id%3D" width="100%"></iframe><br/><p>Nigel Farage’s Reform UK would be the largest party if a General Election was held today, a bombshell new opinion poll has revealed.</p><p>YouGov’s new MRP poll revealed that a turquoise tsunami would sweep large swathes of England and Wales, returning 271 Reform MPs to the House of Commons.</p><h3></h3><br/><p>Meanwhile, Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour would suffer its worst result since 1935, with just 178 seats confounding the Prime Minister to an even more dire result than Jeremy Corbyn in 2019.</p><p>However, Kemi Badenoch’s Conservatives have also been left bracing for a near extinction-point fall - with the Tory rump collapsing from 121 MPs to just 46.</p><h3></h3><br/><p>The Liberal Democrats would also continue to make incursions into the so-called Blue Wall, with Sir Ed Davey leapfrogging the Tories into third place with 81 MPs.</p><p>Despite Labour’s success in this month’s Hamilton Holyrood by-election, a revival north of the border for the Scottish National Party could ring alarm bells in No10.</p><p>The SNP would surge from nine to 34 MPs under YouGov’s MRP poll, putting John Swinney on course to emulate Nicola Sturgeon’s far from glowing 2017 campaign.</p><p>It was more positive for the Liberal Democrats, who would gain nine seats, putting Sir Ed Davey's party up to 81 seats, ahead of the Conservatives.</p><strong>LATEST DEVELOPMENTS:<br/></strong><ul><li><a href="https://www.gbnews.com/politics/reform-uk-nigel-farage-labour-party" target="_self">MAPPED: Six knife-edge seats where Reform could pip Labour to the post and tilt balance of power</a><span></span></li><li><a href="https://www.gbnews.com/politics/charlie-rowley-warns-almighty-fall-tories-reform-uk-surge-triggers-hung-parliament-fears" target="_self">Charlie Rowley warns of 'almighty fall' for Labour as Reform UK surge triggers hung Parliament fears</a></li><li><a href="https://www.gbnews.com/politics/keir-starmer-no-confidence-vote-rebels-regime-change-welfare-cuts" target="_self">Starmer risks 'humiliating' confidence vote as Labour rebels plot 'regime change' over welfare cuts</a></li></ul><h3></h3><br><img alt="YouGov's MPR poll" class="rm-shortcode" data-rm-shortcode-id="8ab9df6fd7a20e740166f50a9ba3f483" data-rm-shortcode-name="rebelmouse-image" id="dd815" loading="lazy" src="https://www.gbnews.com/media-library/yougov-s-mpr-poll.png?id=61109086&width=980"/><h3></h3><br/><div class="embed-latest"></div><h3></h3><br/><p>Meanwhile, the Greens and Plaid Cymru would see a boost, each taking three new seats to give them seven MPs each, a record high for both parties.</p><p>The SNP, meanwhile, would win back most of the seats they lost to Labour at the last election, for a total of 38 MPs in Scotland.</p><p>Meanwhile, the Greens and Plaid Cymru would receive a net boost of three seats each, taking their respective hauls up to seven MPs.</p><p>In its report, YouGov said: "That a clear majority would now vote for someone other than the two established main parties of British politics is a striking marker of just how far the fragmentation of the voting public has gone over the past decade."</p><h3></h3><br/><img alt="Reform UK leader Nigel Farage" class="rm-shortcode" data-rm-shortcode-id="d8f7f5d8d427d7b450b8bba0ab1c4395" data-rm-shortcode-name="rebelmouse-image" id="85019" loading="lazy" src="https://www.gbnews.com/media-library/reform-uk-leader-nigel-farage.jpg?id=61101151&width=980"/><h3></h3><br/><p>It added: "According to our data and methods, 26 per cent of voters would opt for Reform UK, 23 per cent for Labour, 18 per cent for the Conservatives, 15 per cent the Liberal Democrats, 11 per cent the Greens, three per cent the SNP, one per cent Plaid, and two per cent for other parties and independent candidates."</p><p>YouGov’s political analytics director Patrick English added: "Just a year since Labour’s election landslide, the party is on course to win fewer seats than it did in 2019.</p><p>"That a clear majority would now vote for someone other than the two established main parties of British politics is a striking marker of just how far the fragmentation of the voting public has gone over the past decade."</p><p>However, YouGov warned the likely outcome would remain a fragmented hung parliament.</p><h3></h3><br/><div class="embed-dontmiss"></div><h3></h3><br/><img alt="YouGov's MRP poll data" class="rm-shortcode" data-rm-shortcode-id="5d5cd96a006df7430f6eddaad3f28e5f" data-rm-shortcode-name="rebelmouse-image" id="156eb" loading="lazy" src="https://www.gbnews.com/media-library/yougov-s-mrp-poll-data.png?id=61109103&width=980"/><h3></h3><br/><p>Some 97 per cent of simulations resulted in no party emerging with the seats needed to form a majority.</p><p>Nine per cent of the simulations saw Reform and the Tories secure enough seats to establish a “Unite the Right” coalition.</p><p>Meanwhile, combining the seats secured by Labour, the Liberal Democrats and the SNP produces a majority in just three per cent of simulations.</p><p>Including Green seats brings the figure up to 11 per cent, with Plaid’s seats pushing the likelihood up to 26 per cent.</p><h3></h3><br/><div class="embed-mostread"></div><h3></h3><br/><img alt="Sir Keir Starmer" class="rm-shortcode" data-rm-shortcode-id="d6e7b51408bdf9ef0b002423a111eee5" data-rm-shortcode-name="rebelmouse-image" id="f79ae" loading="lazy" src="https://www.gbnews.com/media-library/sir-keir-starmer.jpg?id=61109100&width=980"/><h3></h3><br/><p>And Reform UK's surge appears to have been the most pronounced in Brexit-backing Britain. </p><p>Out of Reform's 266 gains, just 10 seats did not vote for the European Union in 2016, including Dumfries & Galloway in Scotland. </p><p>A turquoise tidal wave could also mean Reform secures the most seats in the East Midlands, East of England, North East, South East, Wales, West Midlands, and Yorkshire and the Humber.</p><p>Reform UK is also tied with Labour for control of the North West. </p></br>